Rams 2026 Draft: Availability Odds predicts WR fall?
Rams 2026 NFL Draft: Availability Odds
The Availability Odds tool predicts a 94% chance a top three WR falls to 13th overall. The result demands attention because it changes the shape of mock draft expectations for Los Angeles.
Underdog Sports developed the Availability Odds tool to run thousands of mock draft scenarios. It calculates how often a prospect remains available at every first round slot, and it can simulate multiple player combinations. As a result, the tool shows which players are likeliest to fall to a given pick.
That matters for the Rams because a top receiver could reshape the offense. Examples include Makai Lemon, Jordyn Tyson, and Carnell Tate. Therefore, the ninety four percent projection invites smarter draft trade talk and roster planning.
Read on for a breakdown of the mock draft data and what it means for general manager decisions. Try the Availability Odds tool yourself and test scenarios, because it makes abstract odds tangible.
Top wide receivers Makai Lemon, Jordyn Tyson and Carnell Tate: the odds to land at 13
Underdog Sports’ Availability Odds tool gives a clear metric. There is a 94% chance one of the three fall to Los Angeles at thirteen based on 1,453 first round mock drafts over the last seven days. Because the tool runs large scenario sets, it highlights which prospects are likeliest to be available at pick 13. The consensus order after the NFL Scouting Combine seems to be (1) Tate, (2) Lemon, and (3) Tyson. Therefore teams and fans can plan around those trends.
Player snapshots
- Makai Lemon 30 percent linked to the Rams at 13th overall according to the tool. Lemon brings contested catch skills, route polish, and separation on intermediate patterns. However some fans debate redundancy with Puka Nacua, whose presence could overlap with Lemon. Still Nacua is currently in rehabilitation and the roster context may change.
- Jordyn Tyson 25 percent linked to the Rams. Tyson offers explosive burst and contested catch ability. Yet he has a troubling injury history with major knee and collarbone injuries in college. He also missed time with a hamstring issue during the pre draft process and did not participate at the Combine. As a result taking him at thirteen could be a high risk gamble.
- Carnell Tate appears as the consensus top receiver after the Combine. Scouts praise his size and play strength. He projects as a downfield threat and boundary breaker.
What this means for the Rams
The 94 percent projection forces practical choices. If one of the top wide receivers Makai Lemon, Jordyn Tyson, or Carnell Tate falls, the Rams will have a near certain chance to add premium pass catching talent. However selecting Lemon might raise redundancy questions while picking Tyson carries injury risk. Therefore front office decision making must weigh talent upside against roster fit and health concerns.
Other notable prospects linked to pick 13 and the risks
Beyond the top wide receivers, the Availability Odds tool shows several non receiver options that could fit the Rams’ roster. The tool lists Spencer Fano at 11 percent, Kenyon Sadiq at 7 percent, and Monroe Freeling at 6 percent among the most common names. Additionally, late round or UDFA targets like Myles Rowser remain options for depth.
Short profiles
- Spencer Fano 11 percent chance at 13th overall. Fano projects as an interior offensive lineman with firm anchor and power in close quarters. He could help protect the quarterback immediately and improve run blocking.
- Kenyon Sadiq 7 percent chance at 13th overall. Sadiq offers hybrid tight end traits with receiving upside and inline blocking. He would add versatile playmaking over the middle.
- Monroe Freeling 6 percent chance at 13th overall. Freeling brings tackle traits and developmental upside as a starter. He could solve long term offensive line questions.
- Myles Rowser late round or UDFA conversation piece. Rowser represents depth and special teams upside. He gives the Rams a low cost developmental option.
Injury risk and draft strategy
Jordyn Tyson’s injury history remains central to draft planning. He suffered major knee and collarbone injuries in college and missed time with a hamstring issue during the pre draft process. He did not participate at the Combine and he was limited at his pro day. As a result analysts warn that “Taking him at thirteen could be a high risk gamble”. Therefore the Rams might pivot to a safer player at 13 or use the pick to address line help.
The Availability Odds tool helps quantify these trade offs. It runs multi player scenarios and shows how likely each prospect falls. Consequently front offices can compare upside against medical risk and roster fit with better data.
| Player Name | Position | School | Chance of Falling to 13th (%) | Notable Attributes or Risks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makai Lemon | WR | USC | 30% | Polished route runner and contested catch specialist. May overlap with Puka Nacua; high upside. |
| Jordyn Tyson | WR | Arizona State | 25% | Explosive vertical threat with contested catches. Major knee and collarbone injuries in college. Missed the Combine and had hamstring issues. “Taking him at thirteen could be a high-risk gamble.” |
| Spencer Fano | OL | Utah | 11% | Interior lineman with strong anchor and power. Helps pass protection and run game. |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE | Oregon | 7% | Hybrid tight end with receiving upside and inline blocking. Offers formation versatility and mismatch potential. |
| Monroe Freeling | OT | Georgia | 6% | Tackle traits and developmental upside. Projected long term starter after refinement. |
Wrapping up, the Availability Odds tool reframes how fans and beat reporters evaluate the Rams’ pick at 13. It simulated 1,453 mock drafts. The tool found a 94% probability that one of the top three wide receivers will fall to Los Angeles.
Analytically, the numbers push the Rams to weigh upside versus risk. For example, Makai Lemon offers polished route work, while Jordyn Tyson carries injury concerns. Therefore front-office strategy must balance immediate need, roster fit, and medical risk. The tool helps by quantifying those trade-offs.
For beat reporters, the Availability Odds tool speeds sourcing and scenario testing. Meanwhile, fans can test variations and argue with evidence rather than hunch. As a result, draft conversations become more concrete and productive.
Rams News LLC will continue covering these developments closely. Visit ramsnews.com and follow us on Twitter/X at @ZachGatsby for draft updates, tool experiments, and mock scenarios. Drop your Availability Odds scenarios in the comments and join the debate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Availability Odds tool and how reliable is it?
The Availability Odds tool from Underdog Sports runs thousands of mock drafts. It analyzed 1,453 first round mock drafts in our dataset. Therefore it produces probability estimates rather than guarantees. For reporters and fans, the tool adds rigor by quantifying how often a prospect remains on the board. However teams will still pair this data with medical reports and interviews.
Who are the top wide receivers linked to the Rams and what are their odds?
The top wide receivers are Makai Lemon, Jordyn Tyson, and Carnell Tate. The tool assigns Lemon a 30 percent chance and Tyson 25 percent to fall to thirteen. Overall, there is a 94 percent probability that one of the top three receivers falls to the Rams at pick 13. That figure comes from recent mock draft scenarios.
How do I use the tool for mock drafts and scenario testing?
First select multiple prospects you want to track. Next run scenarios that vary draft order and trades. Then compare output percentages across runs. Finally use those odds to prioritize targets or to propose trade packages.
What are the main risks in drafting a top receiver at 13?
Medical red flags matter most. In particular, Jordyn Tyson has major knee and collarbone injuries and recent hamstring concerns. As a result, “Taking him at thirteen could be a high-risk gamble”. Also, consider roster fit, such as potential redundancy with Puka Nacua.
Will this tool decide what the Rams do?
No. It informs decisions by showing probabilities. Front offices still evaluate tape, medicals, and interviews. Nevertheless, the Availability Odds tool helps make those conversations more data-driven.